Here is a sobering thought for my fellow Mets fans - Roy Halladay will be in our division for 3 more years. Stupid Philly making that trade. Damn them.
Anyways, I decided to look at some data to determine if there is any reason for hope. So far in his first 7 starts, Halladay is 6-1 with a 1.45 ERA and 6.9 k's/game. Interestingly, last year Halladay was 8-1 after his first 9 starts with a 2.78 ERA and 6.3 k's/game. He ended the season 17-11 with a 2.79 ERA and 6.5 k's/game. There is good news and bad news in thsse data. Good news: He went 9-10 in his last 24 starts. Bad news: His stats were essentially the same as the first 9 starts meaning his team was partially at fault for the sub-.500 winning pct.
Since 2002, he has had two seasons where he lost part of the season with injuries. Even if we include those, he has averaged 213 1/3 innings pitched a year and nearly 6 complete games. Obviously all these data are while going against superior lineups in the AL. What he is going to do in the NL is downright scary. This is not going to be fun for the Mets, Braves, Marlins and Nationals who should get to see him at least 4 times a year.
(Oh, and one side note, since 2002, the Mets have averaged 4.6 complete games a year)
I don't know if this is hope, but let me minimalize Halladay's affect on the Mets this year: The Mets play Philly 18 times. Based on a 5 man rotation, that means the Mets should face him 3.6 times this year. If you round up, make it 4 times. That means over the 162 game season, they face Halladay 2.5% of the time.
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